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Nathaly Ana Villa Montalvo
Juan José Aroca Plaza
Maritza Yesenia Sylva Lazo
Gladys Lola Luján Johnson

Los distritos educativos ecuatorianos enfrentan desafíos significativos para desarrollar capacidades institucionales decisorias preventivas basadas en evidencia empírica, pese a avances en promoción estudiantil y disponibilidad de investigación nacional sobre factores de riesgo académico. El objetivo fue desarrollar un marco teórico-operacional para evaluación de capacidad institucional decisoria preventiva en distritos educativos ecuatorianos mediante síntesis sistemática de evidencia empírica nacional. La metodología empleó enfoque cualitativo, descriptivo-analítico de desarrollo de marco conceptual con análisis de 71 referencias nacionales con evidencia empírica primaria post-2018 de educación media ecuatoriana (8vo-10mo EGB y 1ro-3ro BGU). Los resultados generaron un marco operacional de 83 indicadores en tres dimensiones: competencia analítica preventiva (25 indicadores), institucionalización de procesos decisorios (29 indicadores) y cultura organizacional de gestión pública preventiva (29 indicadores), invalidando enfoques behavioristas tradicionales al demostrar correlaciones débiles (r = -0.107 a 0.039, p = 0.715). El marco opera mediante retroalimentación multidireccional evidenciando correlaciones robustas (r = 0.682-0.720). La investigación proporciona base metodológica para instrumentos de evaluación institucional.

Ecuadorian educational districts face significant challenges in developing evidence-based preventive institutional decision-making capacities, despite advances in student advancement and the availability of national research on academic risk factors. The objective was to develop a theoretical and operational framework for assessing preventive institutional decision-making capacity in Ecuadorian educational districts through a systematic synthesis of national empirical evidence. The methodology employed a qualitative, descriptive-analytical approach to develop a conceptual framework with the analysis of 71 national references with primary empirical evidence post-2018 from Ecuadorian secondary education (8th-10th grades EGB and 1st-3rd BGU). The results generated an operational framework of 83 indicators in three dimensions: preventive analytical competence (25 indicators), institutionalization of decision-making processes (29 indicators), and organizational culture of preventive public management (29 indicators), invalidating traditional behavioral approaches by demonstrating weak correlations (r = -0.107 to 0.039, p = 0.715). The framework operates through multidirectional feedback, demonstrating robust correlations (r = 0.682–0.720). The research provides a methodological basis for institutional assessment instruments.

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Villa Montalvo, N. A. ., Aroca Plaza, J. J. ., Sylva Lazo, M. Y. ., & Luján Johnson, G. L. . (2025). Marco operacional para evaluación de capacidad institucional decisoria en Distritos Educativos Ecuatorianos. Horizontes. Revista De Investigación En Ciencias De La Educación, 9(40), 916–936. https://doi.org/10.33996/revistahorizontes.v9i40.1184
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